The Cuban Missile Crisis: how close did we come to nuclear war?

Statue of Liberty atomic bomb
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It was the height of the Cold War, and tensions between the United States and the Soviet Union were at an all-time high. But nothing could have prepared the world for the events of October 1962, when the two superpowers found themselves in a 13-day standoff that brought the world to the brink of nuclear war.

 

The Cuban Missile Crisis, as it came to be known, was a turning point in world history, a moment that changed the course of the Cold War and highlighted the devastating potential of nuclear weapons.

 

In this article, we will explore the details of the crisis, the decisions that were made, and the question that still lingers: how close did we come to nuclear war?

How did the crisis begin?

The crisis began on October 14, 1962, when a US U-2 spy plane discovered Soviet missile sites in Cuba.

 

The discovery was a shock to US President John F. Kennedy and his advisors, who feared that the missiles could be used to launch a nuclear attack on the United States.

Kennedy immediately convened a group of advisors, known as the Executive Committee of the National Security Council (EXCOMM), to develop a response to the Soviet threat. The EXCOMM considered several options, including a naval blockade of Cuba, a diplomatic solution, and a military strike against the missile sites.

After several days of intense discussion, Kennedy decided to impose a naval quarantine around Cuba to prevent Soviet ships from delivering more missiles to the island. The quarantine went into effect on October 24, 1962.

Raising the stakes

The Soviet Union responded by sending several ships carrying nuclear missiles towards Cuba. The US Navy intercepted the ships and a tense standoff ensued. Meanwhile, the US military prepared for a possible invasion of Cuba, and the Soviet Union put its military on high alert.

On October 26, 1962, Soviet ships and US Navy vessels came close to a collision. Kennedy received a letter from Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev proposing a deal: the Soviet Union would remove its missiles from Cuba if the US promised not to invade Cuba and removed US missiles from Turkey.

Kennedy agreed to the deal and the crisis was resolved on October 28, 1962. The Soviet Union began dismantling its missile sites in Cuba and the US removed its missiles from Turkey.


How likely was nuclear war?

The Cuban Missile Crisis was a highly dangerous and tense situation that brought the world closer to nuclear war than ever before. While it is impossible to know for certain how likely it was that the crisis would lead to a full-scale nuclear war, many experts agree that the risks were extremely high.

Both the US and the Soviet Union had large numbers of nuclear weapons at their disposal, and tensions between the two countries had been escalating for years. During the crisis, both sides took steps that could have easily led to a catastrophic war, such as the US military preparing for an invasion of Cuba and the Soviet Union putting its military on high alert.

 

Additionally, misunderstandings and miscommunications between the two sides could have easily led to an accidental launch of nuclear weapons.

However, it is important to note that both US President John F. Kennedy and Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev were ultimately able to find a diplomatic solution to the crisis, which involved removing missiles from Cuba and Turkey respectively.

 

This suggests that while the risks were high, the leaders on both sides recognized the danger and were willing to take steps to prevent a nuclear war.


What would have happened if there was a nuclear war?

If a nuclear war had broken out during the Cuban Missile Crisis, the consequences would have been catastrophic. It is estimated that a full-scale nuclear exchange between the United States and the Soviet Union could have killed hundreds of millions of people and devastated the world's economy and environment.

The initial explosions would have caused massive destruction, leveling entire cities and leaving behind radioactive fallout that would have contaminated the environment for decades. The immediate death toll would have been staggering, and the longer-term effects of radiation would have caused many more deaths from cancer and other illnesses.

In addition to the loss of human life, a nuclear war would have had a devastating impact on the global economy and environment. The destruction of infrastructure and the disruption of trade would have led to widespread famine and disease, while the release of radioactive particles into the atmosphere would have caused long-term damage to the environment and food supply.

In short, a nuclear war during the Cuban Missile Crisis would have been an unmitigated disaster, causing immense human suffering and irreparable damage to the planet. The fact that the crisis was resolved peacefully is a testament to the importance of diplomacy and communication in preventing such a catastrophic outcome.


A lesson for the present?

The Cuban Missile Crisis was the closest the world ever came to nuclear war. Had the US and the Soviet Union not reached a diplomatic solution, the consequences could have been catastrophic. It is estimated that a full-scale nuclear war would have killed hundreds of millions of people and devastated the world's economy and environment.

The Cuban Missile Crisis was a wake-up call for the world, demonstrating the importance of diplomacy and communication in preventing nuclear war. The crisis also led to the establishment of the Hotline, a direct communication link between the leaders of the US and the Soviet Union, to help prevent future crises from escalating to the brink of war.

As is clear, the Cuban Missile Crisis was a defining moment in world history that demonstrated the fragility of peace and the dangers of nuclear weapons. The crisis was resolved through diplomacy and communication, but the world must remain vigilant to prevent such a crisis from occurring again.